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Clippers vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
4-8 · away
Final score
133-127
Projected: 113-112
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
3-10 · home
52% win LACwin DAL 48%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin0.7
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Dallas Mavericks (3-9) host the LA Clippers (3-8) on Friday, November 14 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 133 – Mavericks 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 2-6 at home and the Clippers are 0-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 3-7 for the Clippers (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Clippers L6).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 112 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Mavericks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DAL -3.3 / LAC -0.3 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantageMavericks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Mavericks
-0.7

Scenarios

Mavericks win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Clippers win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

LACDAL
111.3
Points scored / game
111.0
111.7
Points allowed / game
114.9
45.9 %
Field goal %
49.0 %
39.0 %
3-point %
34.6 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.7 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
44.2
25.0
Assists / game
27.6
12.5
Steals / game
9.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.4
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Clippers
James HardenG · #141pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
James HardenG · #114rebounds
Mavericks
Naji MarshallF · #328pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG5assists
Naji MarshallF · #38rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
DAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACDAL
3-8Record3-9
111.3Points scored / game111.0
111.7Points allowed / game114.9
-0.3Adjusted margin / game-3.3
L6Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games3-7
0-3 roadHome / road record2-6 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season39-43 (-1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.