Jazz vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (61-16) host the Utah Jazz (21-57) on Sunday, April 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 111 – Thunder 146. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 94% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 33-7 at home and the Jazz are 8-30 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Thunder and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Thunder W4, Jazz L8).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 127 – 107 Jazz, a margin of about 19.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+9.9 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHOKC
Top performers
Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2834pts / game
Kyle FilipowskiF · #26assistsKyle FilipowskiF · #214reboundsThunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #721pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #27assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #558reboundsRecent form
UTAHOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| UTAH | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 | Record | 61-16 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 119.1 |
| 125.0 | Points allowed / game | 107.5 |
| -7.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +9.9 |
| L8 | Current streak | W4 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 8-30 road | Home / road record | 33-7 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.