Jazz vs Thunder prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (30-7) host the Utah Jazz (12-23) on Wednesday, January 7 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 125 – Thunder 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 95% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 17-3 at home and the Jazz are 4-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Thunder and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Thunder L2, Jazz L4).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 128 – 108 Jazz, a margin of about 20.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+11.4 vs -6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHOKC
Top performers
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2329pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #311assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3015reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #246pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #88assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #712reboundsRecent form
UTAHOKCHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| UTAH | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-23 | Record | 30-7 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 121.1 |
| 125.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| -6.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.4 |
| L4 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 4-12 road | Home / road record | 17-3 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.