Thunder vs Jazz prediction NBA · Friday, November 21
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (5-9) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (15-1) on Friday, November 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 144 – Jazz 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 90% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 4-3 at home and the Thunder are 8-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Jazz L1, Thunder W7).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 109 – 125 Thunder, a margin of about 16.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.1 vs +12.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCUTAH
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #231pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assists
Jaylin WilliamsF · #66reboundsJazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #320pts / gameKeyonte GeorgeG · #38assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3010reboundsRecent form
OKCUTAHHead-to-head
OKC lead 4-0 this season.
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-1 | Record | 5-9 |
| 121.0 | Points scored / game | 115.9 |
| 106.7 | Points allowed / game | 123.2 |
| +12.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.1 |
| W7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 8-1 road | Home / road record | 4-3 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.