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Thunder vs Jazz prediction NBA · Sunday, December 7

FinalDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, FanDuel SN OK, NBA League Pass
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
23-1 · away
Final score
131-101
Projected: 126-109
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
8-15 · home
91% win OKCwin UTAH 9%
FavoriteOKC
Projected margin16.9
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (8-14) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (22-1) on Sunday, December 7 at 8:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 131 – Jazz 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 6-6 at home and the Thunder are 11-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Jazz and 10-0 for the Thunder (current streaks: Jazz L1, Thunder W14).

The analysis Model

The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Jazz 109 – 126 Thunder, a margin of about 16.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.8 vs +12.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Thunder's offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.8 / OKC +12.4 per game
-19.2
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-16.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
2%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
13%
Thunder win by 10+
71%

Stat comparison Current season

OKCUTAH
121.9
Points scored / game
116.1
107.3
Points allowed / game
124.1
44.0 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
30.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
32.4
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
86.4 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
22.0
Assists / game
26.8
8.4
Steals / game
5.0
6.8
Blocks / game
6.4
13.6
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Thunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #725pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #88assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79rebounds
Jazz
Kyle FilipowskiF · #221pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #19assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
OKC
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

OKCUTAH
22-1Record8-14
121.9Points scored / game116.1
107.3Points allowed / game124.1
+12.4Adjusted margin / game-6.8
W14Current streakL1
10-0Last 10 games4-6
11-1 roadHome / road record6-6 home
68-14 (+12.9)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Oklahoma City Thunder Injury report Thunder

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.