Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 5
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (48-29) host the Indiana Pacers (18-59) on Sunday, April 5 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 108 – Cavaliers 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 24-14 at home and the Pacers are 7-32 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 3-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Pacers L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 123 – 111 Pacers, a margin of about 12.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -5.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDCLE
Top performers
Pacers
Micah PotterC · #921pts / game
Kobe BrownG · #245assistsMicah PotterC · #912reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4538pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Thomas BryantC · #310reboundsRecent form
INDCLEHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-59 | Record | 48-29 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 119.7 |
| 120.0 | Points allowed / game | 114.9 |
| -5.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 7-32 road | Home / road record | 24-14 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.