Pacers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, November 21
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (10-6) host the Indiana Pacers (2-13) on Friday, November 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 109 – Cavaliers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 6-3 at home and the Pacers are 0-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 2-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Pacers W1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 123 – 111 Pacers, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.3 vs -5.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDCLE
Top performers
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #232pts / gameAndrew NembhardG · #28assists
Pascal SiakamF · #439reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4532pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #107assists
Evan MobleyC · #412reboundsRecent form
INDCLEHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-13 | Record | 10-6 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 120.8 |
| 119.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -5.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 0-8 road | Home / road record | 6-3 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.