Cavaliers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 6
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (6-30) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (20-17) on Tuesday, January 6 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 120 – Pacers 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 5-14 at home and the Cavaliers are 7-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Pacers L12, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 120 Cavaliers, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.3 vs +3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEIND
Top performers
Cavaliers
Darius GarlandG · #1029pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #99assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3112reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4322pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #211assists
Johnny FurphyG · #1211reboundsRecent form
CLEINDHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| CLE | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-17 | Record | 6-30 |
| 119.9 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 115.7 | Points allowed / game | 118.6 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | L12 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 7-8 road | Home / road record | 5-14 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.