Cavaliers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Monday, December 1
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (4-16) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (12-9) on Monday, December 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 135 – Pacers 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 4-6 at home and the Cavaliers are 4-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Pacers W2, Cavaliers L3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-4.0 vs +4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEIND
Top performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4543pts / gameDonovan MitchellG · #456assists
Jaylon TysonG · #2011reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #26assistsPascal SiakamF · #437reboundsRecent form
CLEINDHead-to-head
CLE lead 4-0 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| CLE | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-9 | Record | 4-16 |
| 119.9 | Points scored / game | 112.6 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 117.3 |
| +4.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.0 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 4-5 road | Home / road record | 4-6 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.