Pistons vs 76ers prediction NBA · Saturday, April 4
At a glance
The Philadelphia 76ers (43-34) host the Detroit Pistons (56-21) on Saturday, April 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 116 – 76ers 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 22-17 at home and the Pistons are 25-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the 76ers and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: 76ers W2, Pistons W2).
The analysis Model
The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 111 – 117 Pistons, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.7 vs +6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETPHI
Top performers
Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2319pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #2414assists
Jalen DurenC · #07rebounds76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #023pts / game
Paul GeorgeF · #134assists
VJ EdgecombeG · #776reboundsRecent form
DETPHIHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
DET
Team comparison
| DET | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 56-21 | Record | 43-34 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 115.6 |
| 110.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.7 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 25-12 road | Home / road record | 22-17 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 24-58 (-6.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report 76ers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.