76ers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (46-18) host the Philadelphia 76ers (35-30) on Thursday, March 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 109 – Pistons 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 24-8 at home and the 76ers are 17-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pistons W1, 76ers W1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 119 – 110 76ers, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHIDET
Top performers
76ers
MarJon BeauchampF · #1617pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #55assists
Justin EdwardsF · #119reboundsPistons
Duncan RobinsonF · #5519pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #213assists
Jalen DurenC · #010reboundsRecent form
PHIDETHead-to-head
DET lead 4-0 this season.
DET
Team comparison
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-30 | Record | 46-18 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 116.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.3 |
| -1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 17-14 road | Home / road record | 24-8 home |
| 24-58 (-6.2) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report 76ers
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.