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Pistons vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
62% win DETwin PHI 38%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (6-3) host the Detroit Pistons (7-2) on Sunday, November 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 111 – 76ers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 3-1 at home and the Pistons are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for the 76ers and 7-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: 76ers W1, Pistons W5).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 113 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs +3.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.3 / DET +3.1 per game
-4.4
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
-3.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

DETPHI
116.0
Points scored / game
115.8
112.4
Points allowed / game
117.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
37.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
27.0
Assists / game
24.6
8.0
Steals / game
9.8
7.2
Blocks / game
5.6
15.6
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #226pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Jalen DurenC · #016rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #033pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #07assists
Andre DrummondC · #012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETPHI
7-2Record6-3
116.0Points scored / game115.8
112.4Points allowed / game117.3
+3.1Adjusted margin / game-1.3
W5Current streakW1
7-2Last 10 games6-3
3-1 roadHome / road record3-1 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.