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76ers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
29% win PHIwin DET 71%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin6.8
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (10-2) host the Philadelphia 76ers (7-4) on Friday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 105 – Pistons 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 6-1 at home and the 76ers are 3-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pistons W8, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 119 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.3 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.3 / PHI -1.2 per game
+4.5
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+6.8

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
76ers win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIDET
114.8
Points scored / game
117.0
116.3
Points allowed / game
113.2
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
77.5 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.6
Assists / game
27.0
9.8
Steals / game
8.0
5.6
Blocks / game
7.2
12.6
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #031pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #55assists
Andre DrummondC · #011rebounds
Pistons
Javonte GreenG · #3121pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #248assists
Javonte GreenG · #319rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIDET
7-4Record10-2
114.8Points scored / game117.0
116.3Points allowed / game113.2
-1.2Adjusted margin / game+3.3
W1Current streakW8
6-4Last 10 games9-1
3-2 roadHome / road record6-1 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.