Spurs vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Saturday, April 4
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (49-28) host the San Antonio Spurs (59-19) on Saturday, April 4 at 3:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 134 – Nuggets 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 24-13 at home and the Spurs are 30-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Nuggets and 10-0 for the Spurs (current streaks: Nuggets W7, Spurs W11).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Nuggets 118 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SADEN
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #134pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #59assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #118reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1540pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #158reboundsRecent form
SADENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 59-19 | Record | 49-28 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 121.3 |
| 112.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| +5.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.0 |
| W11 | Current streak | W7 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 30-12 road | Home / road record | 24-13 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.