Spurs vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, November 28
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (13-4) host the San Antonio Spurs (12-5) on Friday, November 28 at 9:30 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 139 – Nuggets 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 70% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 6-2 at home and the Spurs are 4-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Nuggets and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Spurs W1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nuggets 120 – 114 Spurs, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SADEN
Top performers
Spurs
Devin VassellG · #2435pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #412assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #3010reboundsNuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2737pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #159reboundsRecent form
SADENHead-to-head
DEN lead 3-1 this season.
SA
Team comparison
| SA | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | Record | 13-4 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 122.6 |
| 113.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| +2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 4-3 road | Home / road record | 6-2 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.