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Hawks vs Nets prediction NBA · Friday, April 3

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
45-33 · away
Final score
141-107
Projected: 117-110
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
18-59 · home
71% win ATLwin BKN 29%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin7.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (18-58) host the Atlanta Hawks (44-33) on Friday, April 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 141 – Nets 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 10-27 at home and the Hawks are 21-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Nets and 8-2 for the Hawks (current streaks: Nets L1, Hawks W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 110 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.7 vs +1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.7 / ATL +1.6 per game
-9.3
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-7.0

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Hawks win by 10+
41%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLBKN
118.3
Points scored / game
105.9
116.5
Points allowed / game
115.0
46.9 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
34.8 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
72.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
43.5
32.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.0
3.6
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #325pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #37assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Nets
Nic ClaxtonC · #916pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #104assists
Chaney JohnsonF · #316rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLBKN
44-33Record18-58
118.3Points scored / game105.9
116.5Points allowed / game115.0
+1.6Adjusted margin / game-7.7
W3Current streakL1
8-2Last 10 games1-9
21-17 roadHome / road record10-27 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.