Hawks vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (0-4) host the Atlanta Hawks (1-3) on Wednesday, October 29 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 117 – Nets 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-1 at home and the Hawks are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Nets and 1-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Nets L4, Hawks L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 114 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-8.0 vs -2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLBKN
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #123pts / game
Kristaps PorzingisC · #77assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1714reboundsNets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1732pts / game
Terance MannG · #146assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #911reboundsRecent form
ATLBKNHead-to-head
ATL lead 4-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 0-4 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 107.4 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.8 |
| -2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -8.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 1-3 | Last 10 games | 0-4 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.