Nets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (34-31) host the Brooklyn Nets (17-48) on Thursday, March 12 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 97 – Hawks 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 16-16 at home and the Nets are 8-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Hawks W7, Nets L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Hawks 119 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 9.9 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNATL
Top performers
Nets
Josh MinottF · #0024pts / game
Ben SarafG · #774assists
Danny WolfF · #28reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #121pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #19assistsJalen JohnsonF · #19reboundsRecent form
BKNATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 4-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| BKN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-48 | Record | 34-31 |
| 106.7 | Points scored / game | 117.9 |
| 115.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.5 |
| -7.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W7 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 8-25 road | Home / road record | 16-16 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.