Nets vs Hawks prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (27-31) host the Brooklyn Nets (15-40) on Sunday, February 22 at 3:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 104 – Hawks 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 10-16 at home and the Nets are 7-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Hawks L1, Nets L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hawks dominate this matchup. The model projects Hawks 118 – 110 Nets, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.3 vs -6.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNATL
Top performers
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1718pts / gameMichael Porter Jr.F · #176assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #126pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #58assistsJalen JohnsonF · #112reboundsRecent form
BKNATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 4-0 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| BKN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-40 | Record | 27-31 |
| 106.5 | Points scored / game | 117.2 |
| 114.2 | Points allowed / game | 118.7 |
| -6.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.3 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 7-21 road | Home / road record | 10-16 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.