Pacers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Friday, April 3
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (41-36) host the Indiana Pacers (18-58) on Friday, April 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 108 – Hornets 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 20-19 at home and the Pacers are 7-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Hornets and 3-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Hornets W2, Pacers W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hornets dominate this matchup. The model projects Hornets 119 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+2.5 vs -5.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDCHA
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
Kam JonesG · #1910assists
Kobe BrownG · #249reboundsHornets
Brandon MillerF · #2422pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Ryan KalkbrennerC · #118reboundsRecent form
INDCHAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CHA
Team comparison
| IND | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-58 | Record | 41-36 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 119.9 | Points allowed / game | 111.7 |
| -5.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 7-31 road | Home / road record | 20-19 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.