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Pacers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, January 8

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
41% win INDwin CHA 59%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin2.9
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (13-24) host the Indiana Pacers (6-31) on Thursday, January 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 114 – Hornets 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hornets are 7-11 at home and the Pacers are 1-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hornets and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Hornets L1, Pacers L13).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hornets 116 – 113 Pacers, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Hornets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -3.0 / IND -5.3 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backHornets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Hornets
+2.9

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pacers win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

INDCHA
112.4
Points scored / game
113.0
118.6
Points allowed / game
116.5
47.1 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
31.2 %
3-point %
30.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
72.7 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
29.4
Assists / game
20.6
6.4
Steals / game
6.8
4.8
Blocks / game
5.2
14.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assists
Pascal SiakamF · #4314rebounds
Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #133pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Kon KnueppelG · #78rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDCHA
6-31Record13-24
112.4Points scored / game113.0
118.6Points allowed / game116.5
-5.3Adjusted margin / game-3.0
L13Current streakL1
0-10Last 10 games4-6
1-16 roadHome / road record7-11 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.