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Hornets vs Pacers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
60% win CHAwin IND 40%
FavoriteCHA
Projected margin3.2
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (15-44) host the Charlotte Hornets (28-31) on Thursday, February 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 133 – Pacers 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-20 at home and the Hornets are 16-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pacers and 7-3 for the Hornets (current streaks: Pacers L4, Hornets W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hornets, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 116 Hornets, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.1 vs +0.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.1 / CHA +0.4 per game
-5.5
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-3.2

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hornets win by 10+
29%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAIND
114.1
Points scored / game
112.5
113.6
Points allowed / game
118.5
41.7 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
85.2 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
44.0
20.6
Assists / game
29.4
6.8
Steals / game
6.4
5.2
Blocks / game
4.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2433pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1411rebounds
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #220pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Jarace WalkerF · #56rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAIND
28-31Record15-44
114.1Points scored / game112.5
113.6Points allowed / game118.5
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-5.1
W2Current streakL4
7-3Last 10 games2-8
16-15 roadHome / road record10-20 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.