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Hornets vs Pacers prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
45% win CHAwin IND 55%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin1.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (1-13) host the Charlotte Hornets (4-10) on Wednesday, November 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 118 – Pacers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 1-5 at home and the Hornets are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pacers and 2-8 for the Hornets (current streaks: Pacers L8, Hornets L3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pacers 116 – 114 Hornets, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.8 / CHA -5.0 per game
-0.7
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+1.6

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hornets win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAIND
111.2
Points scored / game
112.8
117.2
Points allowed / game
119.6
41.7 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
30.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
85.2 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
44.0
20.6
Assists / game
29.4
6.8
Steals / game
6.4
5.2
Blocks / game
4.8
19.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #728pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1412rebounds
Pacers
Bennedict MathurinG · #2424pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #98assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #2412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHAIND
4-10Record1-13
111.2Points scored / game112.8
117.2Points allowed / game119.6
-5.0Adjusted margin / game-5.8
L3Current streakL8
2-8Last 10 games1-9
1-6 roadHome / road record1-5 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.