Spurs vs Warriors prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (36-39) host the San Antonio Spurs (57-19) on Wednesday, April 1 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 127 – Warriors 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 21-15 at home and the Spurs are 28-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Warriors L1, Spurs W9).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Warriors 114 – 116 Spurs, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs +5.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAGS
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #141pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #511assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #118reboundsWarriors
Nate WilliamsG · #1918pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #617assists
Omer YurtsevenC · #778reboundsRecent form
SAGSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| SA | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 57-19 | Record | 36-39 |
| 118.7 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 114.3 |
| +5.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| W9 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 28-12 road | Home / road record | 21-15 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.