Spurs vs Warriors prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (29-25) host the San Antonio Spurs (37-17) on Wednesday, February 11 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 126 – Warriors 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 18-9 at home and the Spurs are 18-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Warriors W1, Spurs W5).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 115 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAGS
Top performers
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #427pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #19reboundsWarriors
Draymond GreenF · #2317pts / gameDraymond GreenF · #238assistsDraymond GreenF · #2312reboundsRecent form
SAGSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
GS
Team comparison
| SA | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-17 | Record | 29-25 |
| 117.2 | Points scored / game | 115.3 |
| 113.2 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W5 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 18-11 road | Home / road record | 18-9 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.