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Warriors vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalFrost Bank Center · Prime Video
43% win GSwin SA 57%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin2.3
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (8-3) host the Golden State Warriors (7-6) on Friday, November 14 at 9:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 109 – Spurs 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 5-1 at home and the Warriors are 2-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Spurs L1, Warriors W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Spurs 116 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +1.5 / GS +1.6 per game
-0.0
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+2.3

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

GSSA
114.7
Points scored / game
116.5
112.9
Points allowed / game
114.7
45.0 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
36.9 %
3-point %
34.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
82.2 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
45.0
25.6
Assists / game
28.2
9.6
Steals / game
9.8
3.8
Blocks / game
6.6
16.8
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3049pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #108rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #126pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #410assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSSA
7-6Record8-3
114.7Points scored / game116.5
112.9Points allowed / game114.7
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+1.5
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
2-6 roadHome / road record5-1 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.