Mavericks vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (23-41) host the Dallas Mavericks (21-44) on Thursday, March 12 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 120 – Grizzlies 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 12-19 at home and the Mavericks are 7-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Grizzlies L5, Mavericks L8).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 114 Mavericks, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALMEM
Top performers
Mavericks
Khris MiddletonF · #2235pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #327assists
Daniel GaffordF · #2114reboundsGrizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #023pts / game
Javon SmallG · #109assists
Taylor HendricksF · #2210reboundsRecent form
DALMEMHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-44 | Record | 23-41 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 117.4 | Points allowed / game | 118.1 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.1 |
| L8 | Current streak | L5 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 7-25 road | Home / road record | 12-19 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.