Grizzlies vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, February 27
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (21-37) host the Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) on Friday, February 27 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 124 – Mavericks 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 14-17 at home and the Grizzlies are 9-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Grizzlies L3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 115 – 116 Grizzlies, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMDAL
Top performers
Grizzlies
Cam SpencerG · #2425pts / game
Walter Clayton Jr.G · #15assists
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #1810reboundsMavericks
Brandon WilliamsG · #1216pts / gameBrandon WilliamsG · #124assists
Dwight PowellF · #711reboundsRecent form
MEMDALHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| MEM | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-36 | Record | 21-37 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 117.4 |
| -1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.5 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 9-19 road | Home / road record | 14-17 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.