Grizzlies vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 22
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (5-12) host the Memphis Grizzlies (5-11) on Saturday, November 22 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 102 – Mavericks 96. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 4-8 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Mavericks W1, Grizzlies W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 114 – 116 Grizzlies, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMDAL
Top performers
Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3420pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #06assists
Zach EdeyC · #1415reboundsMavericks
Klay ThompsonG · #1122pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #124assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #258reboundsRecent form
MEMDALHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| MEM | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-11 | Record | 5-12 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 112.2 |
| 117.4 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| -0.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 1-6 road | Home / road record | 4-8 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.