Mavericks vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, November 7
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (3-6) host the Dallas Mavericks (2-6) on Friday, November 7 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 104 – Grizzlies 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 2-4 at home and the Mavericks are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for the Grizzlies and 2-6 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Grizzlies L4, Mavericks L3).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 119 – 113 Mavericks, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALMEM
Top performers
Mavericks
Max ChristieG · #018pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG5assists
Moussa CisseC · #308reboundsGrizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2321pts / game
Ja MorantG · #113assistsCedric CowardF · #239reboundsRecent form
DALMEMHead-to-head
MEM lead 3-1 this season.
DAL
Team comparison
| DAL | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 3-6 |
| 111.0 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 118.5 |
| -3.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L3 | Current streak | L4 |
| 2-6 | Last 10 games | 3-6 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 2-4 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.