Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

76ers vs Wizards prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
70% win PHIwin WSH 30%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin6.5
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (17-58) host the Philadelphia 76ers (41-34) on Wednesday, April 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 153 – Wizards 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-26 at home and the 76ers are 20-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Wizards L3, 76ers L1).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Wizards 113 – 120 76ers, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.9 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.9 / PHI -1.1 per game
-8.8
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-6.5

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
76ers win by 10+
39%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIWSH
115.2
Points scored / game
111.9
116.4
Points allowed / game
123.5
42.8 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
32.6 %
3-point %
28.5 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
77.5 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
40.0
24.6
Assists / game
25.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.4
5.6
Blocks / game
5.6
12.6
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

76ers
Paul GeorgeF · #1339pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #7710assists
Andre DrummondC · #09rebounds
Wizards
Anthony GillF · #1621pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIWSH
41-34Record17-58
115.2Points scored / game111.9
116.4Points allowed / game123.5
-1.1Adjusted margin / game-9.9
L1Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games1-9
20-17 roadHome / road record11-26 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.