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Wizards vs 76ers prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
16% win WSHwin PHI 84%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin12.4
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (19-15) host the Washington Wizards (10-25) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 110 – 76ers 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 9-9 at home and the Wizards are 4-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 6-4 for the Wizards (current streaks: 76ers L1, Wizards W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the 76ers dominate this matchup. The model projects 76ers 122 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 12.4 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs -9.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.8 / WSH -9.3 per game
+8.5
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backWizards played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
+12.4

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
57%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
20%
Wizards win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHPHI
112.2
Points scored / game
115.2
123.1
Points allowed / game
116.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
28.5 %
3-point %
32.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
25.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.4
Steals / game
9.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.6
13.6
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Wizards
Tre JohnsonG · #1220pts / game
Malaki BranhamF · #128assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #39rebounds
76ers
Joel EmbiidC · #2128pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #08assists
Joel EmbiidC · #217rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHPHI
10-25Record19-15
112.2Points scored / game115.2
123.1Points allowed / game116.2
-9.3Adjusted margin / game-0.8
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
4-13 roadHome / road record9-9 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.