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Wizards vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 2

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · MNMT, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
15% win WSHwin PHI 85%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin13.0
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (10-9) host the Washington Wizards (3-16) on Tuesday, December 2 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 102 – 76ers 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 5-6 at home and the Wizards are 1-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 2-8 for the Wizards (current streaks: 76ers L1, Wizards W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the 76ers dominate this matchup. The model projects 76ers 123 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 13.0 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.4 vs -11.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (114.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -2.4 / WSH -11.5 per game
+9.1
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backWizards played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
+13.0

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
59%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Wizards win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHPHI
111.3
Points scored / game
114.8
124.8
Points allowed / game
117.7
48.0 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
28.5 %
3-point %
32.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
42.2
25.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.4
Steals / game
9.8
5.6
Blocks / game
5.6
13.6
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Wizards
Tristan VukcevicF · #0016pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #185assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #38rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #035pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #06assists
Jabari WalkerF · #3312rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHPHI
3-16Record10-9
111.3Points scored / game114.8
124.8Points allowed / game117.7
-11.5Adjusted margin / game-2.4
W1Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games4-6
1-10 roadHome / road record5-6 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.