Celtics vs Hawks prediction NBA · Monday, March 30
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (42-33) host the Boston Celtics (50-24) on Monday, March 30 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 102 – Hawks 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 22-16 at home and the Celtics are 24-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Hawks and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Hawks W1, Celtics W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hawks 113 – 114 Celtics, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.2 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSATL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #729pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #79assistsJaylen BrownG · #710reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #120pts / game
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #76assistsJalen JohnsonF · #112reboundsRecent form
BOSATLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-24 | Record | 42-33 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 116.8 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 24-13 road | Home / road record | 22-16 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.