Celtics vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (20-23) host the Boston Celtics (25-15) on Saturday, January 17 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 132 – Hawks 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 7-11 at home and the Celtics are 13-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Celtics (current streaks: Hawks L2, Celtics W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Hawks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 113 – 118 Celtics, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs +6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSATL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #741pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #912assists
Hugo GonzalezG · #288reboundsHawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1721pts / game
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #76assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #18reboundsRecent form
BOSATLHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-15 | Record | 20-23 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 118.0 |
| 109.5 | Points allowed / game | 119.0 |
| +6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 13-8 road | Home / road record | 7-11 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.