Hawks vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (29-17) host the Atlanta Hawks (23-25) on Wednesday, January 28 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 117 – Celtics 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 14-7 at home and the Hawks are 14-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Celtics W1, Hawks W3).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 120 – 111 Hawks, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLBOS
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #721pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #59assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #114reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #721pts / game
Luka GarzaC · #526assistsJaylen BrownG · #77reboundsRecent form
ATLBOSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| ATL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-25 | Record | 29-17 |
| 117.8 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 118.8 | Points allowed / game | 109.4 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 14-12 road | Home / road record | 14-7 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.