Hawks vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, March 27
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (48-24) host the Atlanta Hawks (41-32) on Friday, March 27 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 102 – Celtics 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 25-11 at home and the Hawks are 20-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 9-1 for the Hawks (current streaks: Celtics W1, Hawks W3).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 118 – 110 Hawks, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLBOS
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #129pts / gameJalen JohnsonF · #16assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #179reboundsCeltics
Payton PritchardG · #1136pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #05assistsJayson TatumF · #012reboundsRecent form
ATLBOSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
BOS
Team comparison
| ATL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-32 | Record | 48-24 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 114.5 |
| 117.0 | Points allowed / game | 107.0 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 20-16 road | Home / road record | 25-11 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.