Warriors vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Sunday, March 29
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (47-28) host the Golden State Warriors (36-38) on Sunday, March 29 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 93 – Nuggets 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 23-13 at home and the Warriors are 15-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Nuggets and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Nuggets W5, Warriors W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 120 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (121.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSDEN
Top performers
Warriors
Brandin PodziemskiG · #223pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #238assists
Gui SantosF · #1510reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1525pts / gameNikola JokicC · #158assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
GSDENHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| GS | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-38 | Record | 47-28 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 121.3 |
| 114.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.9 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| W3 | Current streak | W5 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 15-23 road | Home / road record | 23-13 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.