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Warriors vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalBall Arena · Prime Video
33% win GSwin DEN 67%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin5.5
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Denver Nuggets (5-2) host the Golden State Warriors (5-4) on Friday, November 7 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 104 – Nuggets 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 4-0 at home and the Warriors are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-2 for the Nuggets and 5-4 for the Warriors (current streaks: Nuggets W2, Warriors L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Warriors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Nuggets' offense (122.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nuggets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DEN +5.5 / GS +2.4 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantageNuggets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nuggets
+5.5

Scenarios

Nuggets win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Warriors win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

GSDEN
115.4
Points scored / game
122.2
112.6
Points allowed / game
115.7
45.0 %
Field goal %
45.8 %
36.9 %
3-point %
32.8 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.3
82.2 %
Free throw %
79.6 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
44.5
25.6
Assists / game
26.0
9.6
Steals / game
10.0
3.8
Blocks / game
4.8
16.8
Turnovers / game
15.3

Top performers

Warriors
Draymond GreenF · #2317pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #615assists
Trayce Jackson-DavisF · #327rebounds
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1526pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #159assists
Nikola JokicC · #159rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
DEN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

GSDEN
5-4Record5-2
115.4Points scored / game122.2
112.6Points allowed / game115.7
+2.4Adjusted margin / game+5.5
L1Current streakW2
5-4Last 10 games5-2
1-4 roadHome / road record4-0 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season50-32 (+3.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.