Nuggets vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (29-27) host the Denver Nuggets (36-21) on Sunday, February 22 at 3:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 117 – Warriors 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 18-11 at home and the Nuggets are 21-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Warriors L2, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Warriors 116 – 117 Nuggets, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENGS
Top performers
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1535pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1512assistsNikola JokicC · #1520reboundsWarriors
Moses MoodyG · #423pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #29assistsBrandin PodziemskiG · #215reboundsRecent form
DENGSHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-21 | Record | 29-27 |
| 120.9 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 116.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.2 |
| +4.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 21-10 road | Home / road record | 18-11 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.