Heat vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Friday, March 27
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-28) host the Miami Heat (39-34) on Friday, March 27 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 128 – Cavaliers 149. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 23-14 at home and the Heat are 16-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Cavaliers L1, Heat W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 115 Heat, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACLE
Top performers
Heat
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2420pts / game
Tyler HerroG · #115assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1316reboundsCavaliers
Max StrusG · #3129pts / game
James HardenG · #114assists
Evan MobleyC · #410reboundsRecent form
MIACLEHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| MIA | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-34 | Record | 45-28 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 119.4 |
| 116.3 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 16-20 road | Home / road record | 23-14 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.