Heat vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-27) host the Miami Heat (38-34) on Wednesday, March 25 at 7:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 120 – Cavaliers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 59% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 23-13 at home and the Heat are 15-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Cavaliers W4, Heat L5).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 115 Heat, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIACLE
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2419pts / game
Bam AdebayoC · #137assists
Kel'el WareC · #911reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4528pts / game
James HardenG · #17assistsJames HardenG · #19reboundsRecent form
MIACLEHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| MIA | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-34 | Record | 45-27 |
| 118.8 | Points scored / game | 119.6 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 114.6 |
| +2.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L5 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 15-20 road | Home / road record | 23-13 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.