Cavaliers vs Heat prediction NBA · Monday, November 10
At a glance
The Miami Heat (6-4) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (7-3) on Monday, November 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 138 – Heat 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 4-0 at home and the Cavaliers are 3-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Heat and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Heat W2, Cavaliers W4).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Heat 116 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (121.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEMIA
Top performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4528pts / gameDonovan MitchellG · #458assistsDonovan MitchellG · #4515reboundsHeat
Norman PowellG · #2433pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #28assists
Kel'el WareC · #920reboundsRecent form
CLEMIAHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| CLE | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 6-4 |
| 121.4 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 113.8 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +6.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| W4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.