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Cavaliers vs Heat prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalKaseya Center · FanDuel SN Sun, FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
8-4 · away
Final score
130-116
Projected: 118-117
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
7-5 · home
54% win CLEwin MIA 46%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin1.2
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Miami Heat (7-4) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (7-4) on Wednesday, November 12 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 130 – Heat 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 5-0 at home and the Cavaliers are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Heat and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Heat W3, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Heat 117 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (122.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Heat
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIA +2.6 / CLE +6.1 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageHeat at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Heat
-1.2

Scenarios

Heat win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEMIA
122.1
Points scored / game
117.7
115.0
Points allowed / game
114.7
46.8 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
36.7 %
3-point %
31.7 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
79.3 %
Free throw %
71.7 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
42.8
26.3
Assists / game
27.0
8.8
Steals / game
8.4
7.5
Blocks / game
5.4
17.3
Turnovers / game
14.2

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3130pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #99assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2427pts / game
Andrew WigginsF · #226assists
Kel'el WareC · #913rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
MIA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEMIA
7-4Record7-4
122.1Points scored / game117.7
115.0Points allowed / game114.7
+6.1Adjusted margin / game+2.6
L1Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games7-3
3-3 roadHome / road record5-0 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season37-45 (+0.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Miami Heat Injury report Heat

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.