Spurs vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 25
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) host the San Antonio Spurs (54-19) on Wednesday, March 25 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 123 – Grizzlies 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 13-21 at home and the Spurs are 26-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Grizzlies and 9-1 for the Spurs (current streaks: Grizzlies L3, Spurs W6).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 114 – 119 Spurs, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.1 vs +5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAMEM
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #119pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #59assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsGrizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4520pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #247assists
Taylor HendricksF · #228reboundsRecent form
SAMEMHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
MEM
Team comparison
| SA | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 54-19 | Record | 24-47 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 116.3 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 118.7 |
| +5.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.1 |
| W6 | Current streak | L3 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 26-12 road | Home / road record | 13-21 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.