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Spurs vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 6

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
50% win SAwin MEM 50%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin0.0
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (15-20) host the San Antonio Spurs (25-11) on Tuesday, January 6 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 105 – Grizzlies 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 7-9 at home and the Spurs are 13-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Grizzlies and 7-3 for the Spurs (current streaks: Grizzlies L4, Spurs L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 118 – 117 Spurs, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.4 / SA +2.7 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+0.0

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Spurs win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

SAMEM
118.1
Points scored / game
117.4
115.0
Points allowed / game
116.9
46.0 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
34.6 %
3-point %
39.1 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.3 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
50.0
28.2
Assists / game
25.0
9.8
Steals / game
6.3
6.6
Blocks / game
6.3
12.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #130pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assists
Julian ChampagnieF · #308rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2021pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #248assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #209rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SAMEM
25-11Record15-20
118.1Points scored / game117.4
115.0Points allowed / game116.9
+2.7Adjusted margin / game+0.4
L1Current streakL4
7-3Last 10 games4-6
13-6 roadHome / road record7-9 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.