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Grizzlies vs Spurs prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 18

FinalFrost Bank Center · NBC, Peacock, FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
32% win MEMwin SA 68%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin5.9
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (9-4) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-10) on Tuesday, November 18 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 101 – Spurs 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 6-2 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Spurs W1, Grizzlies L4).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Spurs, but the Grizzlies have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Spurs 119 – 113 Grizzlies, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +1.8 / MEM -1.7 per game
+3.6
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+5.9

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Grizzlies win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMSA
116.4
Points scored / game
116.4
118.4
Points allowed / game
114.3
45.3 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
39.1 %
3-point %
34.6 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
82.8 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
45.0
25.0
Assists / game
28.2
6.3
Steals / game
9.8
6.3
Blocks / game
6.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2319pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #09assists
Cedric CowardF · #2311rebounds
Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #426pts / game
Devin VassellG · #245assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #37rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMSA
4-10Record9-4
116.4Points scored / game116.4
118.4Points allowed / game114.3
-1.7Adjusted margin / game+1.8
L4Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games6-4
1-5 roadHome / road record6-2 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.