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Magic vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 24

FinalRocket Arena · NBC, Peacock, FanDuel SN OH
27% win ORLwin CLE 73%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin7.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (44-27) host the Orlando Magic (38-33) on Tuesday, March 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 131 – Cavaliers 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 22-13 at home and the Magic are 16-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, Magic L5).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 111 Magic, a margin of about 7.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.3 / ORL +0.7 per game
+3.6
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+7.5

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
42%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Magic win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCLE
114.0
Points scored / game
119.4
113.2
Points allowed / game
114.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
31.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.0
Assists / game
26.3
7.8
Steals / game
8.8
4.5
Blocks / game
7.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #536pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #55assists
Desmond BaneG · #37rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4542pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCLE
38-33Record44-27
114.0Points scored / game119.4
113.2Points allowed / game114.4
+0.7Adjusted margin / game+4.3
L5Current streakW3
5-5Last 10 games7-3
16-18 roadHome / road record22-13 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.