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Magic vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, January 26

FinalRocket Arena · Peacock, FanDuel SN FL
33% win ORLwin CLE 67%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.5
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (27-20) host the Orlando Magic (23-21) on Monday, January 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 98 – Cavaliers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 15-11 at home and the Magic are 9-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Cavaliers W3, Magic L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 118 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.2 / ORL -0.1 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+5.5

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Magic win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLCLE
113.3
Points scored / game
119.7
113.3
Points allowed / game
116.0
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
31.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
75.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
26.0
Assists / game
26.3
7.8
Steals / game
8.8
4.5
Blocks / game
7.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #537pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #46assists
Paolo BancheroF · #510rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4545pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #95assists
Evan MobleyC · #49rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLCLE
23-21Record27-20
113.3Points scored / game119.7
113.3Points allowed / game116.0
-0.1Adjusted margin / game+3.2
L3Current streakW3
4-6Last 10 games7-3
9-12 roadHome / road record15-11 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.