Cavaliers vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 11
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (35-28) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (40-25) on Wednesday, March 11 at 7:30 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 122 – Magic 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 20-12 at home and the Cavaliers are 18-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Magic W4, Cavaliers W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 114 – 115 Cavaliers, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEORL
Top performers
Cavaliers
James HardenG · #130pts / gameJames HardenG · #18assists
Evan MobleyC · #413reboundsMagic
Desmond BaneG · #335pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #57assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411reboundsRecent form
CLEORLHead-to-head
CLE lead 3-1 this season.
CLE
Team comparison
| CLE | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-25 | Record | 35-28 |
| 119.2 | Points scored / game | 113.5 |
| 114.2 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 18-13 road | Home / road record | 20-12 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.